To be suited to the conditions of china , a new pmmm should be developed for guiding organizations in china in project management practices and improving their capabilities , which then provides a feasible path tool for organizations to improve theiro competitiveness 对于这种新的评价项目管理能力的方法,应结合我国的实际情况建立的新的适合我国的项目管理成熟度模型用以指导我国组织的项目管理实践,提高项目管理能力水平,为组织项目管理的改进提供一个可资借鉴的路径工具。
The model is founded by adapting cooperative theory , it found the biggest study area function on the condition of different traffic impact extent around road network of new developments , as result tia can analyze the traffic impact of land uses quantificationally , coordinate the relationship between land uses and road supply , and it also analyzed advantage and disadvantage of the model , this model need to be studied deeply 然后又讨论了交通影响费及其实施政策，简要分析了计算tif所要考虑的主要环节，提出较简单的公式。最后通过对联想科技园区tia过程的详述，验证了前面提到的tde理论和方法体系，并讨论了如何用交通规划软件评价项目交通影响，并利用分析结果进行设施规划、设计和交通组织与管理
The social and economic assessment for the expressway that has already been open to traffic can more comprehensively and more exactly measure the " external impact " of the project . the social and economic assessment is to measure the project impact from social point of view , so it can harmonize the project and society , and provide the scientific foundation for the sustainable development of project and the improvement of level of scientific decision - making 因为对建成通车后的高速公路进行社会经济影响评价可以更真实、全面地衡量项目对社会的“外部影响” ，可从全社会的角度考察评价项目，促使项目与社会相互适应和协调发展，还可为项目的可持续性发展，不断提高科学决策水平提供科学依据。
Firstly , the degree of the development of project management and risk management , the explanation of the importance of project risk management , and the expatiation of the theory and method of project schedule plan , the status of project schedule risk evaluation and the development and application of simulation technique are introduced in this paper . then the advantages and disadvantages of simulation technique and program evaluation and review technique for evaluating the schedule risk of project are apart listed in the paper , and that the theory and method of monte carlo method is discussed emphatically in the paper . finally the method for evaluating the schedule risk of project by creating monte carlo simulation model with the software excel is presented in the paper , which includes modeling , simulating , counting , testing and evaluating , and makes the complex and hard quantitative analysis work - risk evaluation easy and convenient , the result of evaluation more precise and credible 本文首先介绍项目管理和风险管理的发展状况，说明项目风险管理的重要性，阐述项目进度计划的理论和方法、项目进度风险评价的现状以及模拟技术的发展和应用，然后对比分析模拟法和计划评审技术在评价项目进度风险时的优劣，并着重探讨用蒙特卡罗法进行风险评价的理论和方法，最后提出在计算机软件excel上建立蒙特卡罗模拟模型对项目的进度风险进行评价的思路和模型，并在excel上建立一套完整的进行项目进度风险评价的实现步骤和方法，包括建模、模拟、统计、检验和评价，使风险评价这一复杂困难的定量分析工作变得简单方便，而且使其结果更加准确可靠。
Finally we design a project of testing and evaluating csi and demonstrate by the method of the hiberarchy , the fornell method and the p - m fuzzy measure method , contrast these methods , the scientific character of the p - m fuzzy measure method is tested , and we can conclude that the testing and evaluating the csi in the p - m fuzzy measure space will reinforce the flexility of the measure system , realize the feedback mechanism of the testing and evaluating system of csi , and the integrality of the testing system is improved 最后通过对一个具体的csi评价项目的设计，分别用层次法、 fornen方法和尸一m模糊测度方法进行实证研究，通过这几种方法的对比分析，我们在实践中检验了p一- m模糊测度原理的科学性，得出了在p一m模糊测度空间中进行cs工测评，将会增强系统的测度柔性，实现了cs工测评系统的反馈机制，提高了测评系统的完备性的结论。
