This unevenly location of fdi and it ' s fluctuate trend affected the balanceable development of regional economy profoundly . based on the international capital flows and the economic facts of fdi flowing into china , this paper establishes an analytic framework with international economics and regional economics , then analyzes the effect of fdi on regional economic growth and in the end put forward the regional policy advice which would stimulate foreign investments inflowing into china 本文以经济全球化趋势下的国际资本流动和改革开放的经济现实为背景，借鉴新制度经济学和新古典经济学分析方法，建立了国际经济学、区域经济学和发展经济学的分析框架，理论分析与实证研究相结合，重点运用数理统计方法和计量经济模型，利用时间序列和横断面数据对fdi对我国区域经济增长的影响进行了全面分析，并提出了引进外资的区域政策建议。
Based on the data of petrochemical and refining industries in 2004 and 2005 , an econometrics model is set up to work out the price level by which the synthetic materials industry could reach the maximum of profit ' s increment , and the price by which the refining industry could reach the zero profit 本文以2004年和2005年石油化工和石油精炼行业的利润和国际油价数据为基础，建立计量经济模型，测算出与合成材料产业利润增量最大化相对应的油价水平以及与石油精炼产业盈亏平衡点相对应的油价水平。
It presents relative indices designing of harbor development strategy , econometric models , data process , parameter estimate and model testing . it proves the grey system model adequate to harbor throughout and container forecast the framework is adopted to the research on lian yun gang harbor developmental strategy 探讨了港口发展战略研究相关指标设计，对计量经济模型的建立、数理处理、参数估计、模型检验等进行了方法论探讨，探索了灰色系统模型在港口吞吐量及集装箱预测中的可行性，明确提出该模型可用于港口吞吐量和集装箱吞吐量预测分析。
The use of a combination of theoretical analysis and empirical research , econometric modelling and analysis of supplementary survey methods research in the economic effects of fdi in changchun and the key factors . on the basis of macroeconomic indicators , using indicators for the industry group testing to draw the specific factors , with some theoretical and practical meanings 本文采用理论分析与实证研究相结合,计量经济模型和问卷调查分析相补充的方法,对长春市引进外商直接投资的经济效果及其关键影响因素进行了比较深入的研究。在运用宏观经济指标进行检验的基础上,还采用行业指标进行分组检验,从行业角度得出了影响长春市fdi溢出效应的具体因素,具有一定的理论与现实意义。
Secondly the economy model is presented to study the variety factors " contribution or contribution rate to the growth of farm ' s income , such as agriculture production ability , non - agricultural employment , the produce price and rural infrastructure investment , etc . technological , innovation and institution development are also analyzed by theory model . thirdly the author studies the income distribution through gini coefficient and theil coefficient 其次通过构建计量经济模型定量研究了农业生产能力、农村剩余劳动力转移、农产品价格、农业基本建设投资对农民收入的影响及贡献，同时测算了农民收入各组成部分对总收入的贡献；考虑到科技创新、制度进步难以量化的问题，作者运用理论模型定性分析了它们对农民收入的作用，以作为定量分析的补充。
First of all , i summarize the forecast model category and estimate each model in detail , then , i adopt different model to forecast demand , supply , bdi of bulk shipping market . as to demand forecast , i mainly focus on the imitating precision of primitive data , adopt grey forecast model , self - suited filter model separately , and then compose these models as a better one . as to supply forecast , i use econometrics model to describe the complicated relationship of demand , supply , bdi , gnp etc . as to bdi , i try to draw into market integrated factor , describe the relationship of bdi , supply , capacity , speed , rate of oil , navigating capital etc . then finally , i make afterwards evaluation of these models and then analyze future bulk shipping market in detail 对于需求预测，着重考虑对原始数据的拟合精度，经过模型比较优选论证，分别采用了灰色一阶模型，改进的灰色二阶、自适应过滤预测的加权组合模型，得到了相当高的拟合精度；对于供给预测，运用计量经济模型对供给、需求、运价、 gnp 、进出口贸易额等多变量之间复杂的相互关系进行动态模拟，定量的反映出各变量之间的因果关系；对于运价预测，尝试引入市场综合因数概念，化繁为简，通过描述运价与运力供给、载重吨、油耗、航速、燃油价格、航行成本等等诸多因素的关系来进行预测。
On basis of this theory is constructed an econometric model simulating changes of renminbi ' s nominal and real exchange rates during 1995 - 2004 , by means of which is analyzed the value of renminbi against usd and described quantitatively the influence of sino - american consumption model , economic growth and macro monetary policy on the renminbi ' s exchange rate 根据上述理论,可建造一个反映人民币名义汇率和实际汇率在1995 - 2004变迁的计量经济模型，用其分析人民币对美元的价值，并从数量上描述中美消费模式，经济增长和宏观货币政策对人民币汇率的影响。
Also with the data from 8 listed company in stock market , we establish a quantitative model to analyze the effect of mbo on the firms in china . it is the first time that the effects be showed in detail . we aim to find the restrictive factors that inhibit the development of mbo and want to find solution to resolve them 另外，本文还通过搜集8家中国上市公司数据，建立计量经济模型，第一次实证分析了中国企业实行管理层收购的效果，并从分析中找出目前中国存在的制约因素，进一步提出中国实行管理层收购的相关对策建议和前景展望。
This paper makes a research on the effect of china ' s accession to the wto on fdi in china . the first part introduces the wto agreements which are related to fdi and china ' commitments . the second part studies the entry mode choice of mnes after china acceded to the wto . empirical study is done with the method of econometrics to try to find the relationship between tariff rate and fdi in china and two other developing countries which have already been members of the wto . the third part analyses the effect of china ' s accession to the wto on the different sources of fdi by studying the status quo of different sources , the intensity index of fdi , the industry structure , the motives and strategies of investment of the major sourcing countries and regions . the fourth part studies the transformation of the variables that influence the form of fdi after china ' s accession to the wto and the change of three different forms of foreign direct investment enterprises from jan . 2001 to aug . 2002 首先从关于跨国公司进入方式选择的理论入手，采用计量经济模型进行实证研究，以分析加入wto对跨国公司出口与直接投资两种进入方式选择的影响。其次通过对我国外商直接投资来源结构的现状、主要国家和地区对华投资强度、行业结构、投资动机和投资战略的研究，分析入世对外商直接投资来源结构的影响。最后通过分析加入wto后影响外商直接投资方式各变量的变化和外商直接投资方式的初步变化，分析加入wto后外商直接投资方式的发展趋势。
The dissertation , in the principle of integration of theory with practice conducts a detailed and systematic analysis and evaluation of the key elements affecting the competitiveness of agricultural products , arrive at corresponding policy analysis and defenses , and finally initiates solution proposals and make an analysis on the level of system innovation with a comprehensive use of the knowledge and theories of agriculture economics , comparative economics , regional economics , international trade and agricultural and natural science and an adoption of the combination of macro - analysis and micro - analysis , demonstration study and criterion study , ration analysis and nature determination analysis , comparative analysis , statistics analysis , computation economic model 本文综合运用农业经济学、产业经济学、区域经济学、比较经济学、计量经济学、国际贸易学和农业自然科学等学科的知识与原理，遵循理论与实践相统一的原则，采取宏观分析与微观分析相结合、实证研究与规范研究相结合、定性分析与定量分析相结合以及比较分析、统计分析和计量经济模型等多种方法，对影响农产品竞争力的关键要素展开系统深入的分析评价，得出相应的政策含义和依据，最后提出对策建议并加以耦合，进而上升到制度创新的层面加以阐述。
