Research works have been done on not only the methods of msa including metrological properties and reliability analysis , but a lso the theory and evaluation method of dynamic uncertainty based on the analysis of the current theories of msa , reliability analysis and uncertainty analysis . some innovative ideas and achievements are presented . deficiencies have been found in the applicability and error analysis of current mas method on the metrological property analysis , and current method of reliability analysis is also found hard to performance , which makes the performance of reliability evaluation of measurement system stay on formalization 本文从现行的测量系统量值分析、可靠性分析及不确定度分析的的理论出发，对测量系统的分析方法进行了系统的、全面的探索和研究，并对动态不确定度的理论及其评价方法进行了探索，完成和取得了如下主要工作及创新性成果：通过对测量系统现行的量值分析方法及可靠性分析方法的分析，发现测量系统现行的量值分析方法在适用范围及对系统误差的分析上存在局限，而现行的可靠性分析方法也难于操作和实施，使得测量系统的可靠性评价实际上流于形式。
Robust optimization is a kind of valid design method that improves the product performance , combining robust and optimization , it adjusts name values of design variables and controls its deviation to promise robustness of the optimization solution . robust optimization includes : ( 1 ) selecting the random factor and turning with quantity ; ( 2 ) uncertainty analysis ; ( 3 ) applying results of uncertainty analysis in robust optimization models 稳健优化设计方法是提高产品性能的一种有效的设计方法,是稳健设计和优化设计两种方法的结合,它是通过调整设计变量的名义值和控制其偏差来保证设计最优解的稳健性,包括三个步骤: ( 1 )随机因素的确定与量化; ( 2 )不确定分析; ( 3 )在稳健优化模型中合理地应用不确定分析的结果。
Through adopting a new method and analyzing massive sensitive analysis data , this thesis induces the “ uniformity ” rule in the uncertainty analysis under the same fluctuation scope condition , then through the deductive , cites a new variable named fluctuation index of eirr to represent the project ’ s ability of resisting risk 本文另辟蹊径,通过对大量敏感性分析数据的分析,归纳出在同等浮动幅度的条件下,不确定性分析中存在着“一致性”的规律;然后再通过演绎的方法,引入一个崭新的变量? ?经济内部收益率扰动参数来代表项目抵抗风险能力大小。
The paper expatiate the birth , characteristics , finance , controllable and uncontrollable risk and development of the vessel investment , especially the ship model and ship equipment including the author ' s engineering practice and experience in management of engineering project . it also introduces the method about uncertainty analysis 本文利用经济学规律和航运投资管理的知识，结合实际船舶投资工作，利用实际案例结合经济论的分析实践，对从事航运投资管理的决策者以及相关方面的人士具有一定的参考价值。
In this paper , via expounding the conceptions and the characteristics of high - tech and technical reconstruction , as well as referencing correlative theory and method of the technical - economical evaluation , it puts forward much more systemic evaluation target and builds the model of technical - economical evaluation of high - tech reconstructing traditional industry project . the model is made up of uncertainty analysis and durative analysis , technology assessment , and economic benefit of technical reconstruction project 本文通过对高新技术、技术改造等概念和特点的阐述，并参考技术经济评价的相关理论和方法，提出了更加系统的高新技术改造传统产业项目技术经济评价指标体系，建立了高新技术改造传统产业项目的技术经济评价模型，其中包括：项目的不确定性分析、可持续性分析、项目的技术评价、经济效益评价等要素。
Hence , based on the analysis o f the current real & estate market and the financial evaluation of the reconstruction project cost and expenditures , this thesis brings forward the blue prints for the whole reconstruction project , schedules the project construction and quality supervision plans ; conducts relevant research on the enterprise image - building , strategies of price controlling , project investment , project venture and project uncertainty analysis , which shows valuable clues to the project feasibility 为此，本文从房地产市场分析着手，通过建设项目成本和费用分析，选择和确定开发方案，对项目实施作好施工控制；研究本项目的企业形象塑造和房价策略，进行了项目投资分析；并依据市场调查和财务评价，进行了风险分析和不确定性分析，来确定该项目开发的可行性。
