The other part of the paper gave introductions about some kinds of forecasting techniques firstly , then selected the most suitable techniques on domestic tourist amount forecast , and five - year ' s forecast was made 最后得出适合我国国内旅游需求预测的方法，并预测了近5年的国内旅游需求量。本文在结论部分讨论了进一步扩大和激发国内旅游需求的具体措施。
This thesis describes the aim of green tourism as a program that , while maintaining the precondition of ecological protection , simultaneously fulfils the goals of invigorating the rural economy and satisfying the tourism desires of urban dwellers 本论文阐述的是绿色旅游是为了在环保的前提下振兴农村经济同时满足城市人的旅游需求而摸索出的可以被认可的方案。
Researchers , decision makers and employees are all realizing that it is very necessary to forecast tourism demand accurately , but to this day there is not a centralized normal form for which kind of mathematics model can be used 旅游研究人员、决策者以及从业人员都意识到对旅游需求进行准确的预测是非常必要的，但具体用什么数学模型来进行旅游需求的预测分析至今没有一个统一的范式。
2 . strengthen departments " coordination , and balance the structure of supply and demand ; 3 . strengthen tourist promotion , and stimulate tourist demand ; 4 . improve the scientific and technological content of service facilities of sports tourism , and strengthen the professional 加强部门协调，平衡供需结构； 3加强旅游促销，刺激旅游需求； 4提高体育旅游服务设施的科技含量，加强专门人才的培养； 5
In the thesis , based on time sequence statistical data , applying ann multi - step prediction and rolling prediction , tourist income and tourist quantities forecasting model is established . the thesis forecasts tourism demand of qingdao by improved three - layer bp network 论文中，主要是基于旅游需求的时间序列统计数据，应用人工神经网络多步预测和滚动预测方法，建立旅游收入神经网络预测模型和旅游人数神经网络预测模型。
With the transformation of domestic tourism market from solders - orientating to buyers - orientating , experts have paid more attention to the research on tourist behavior and tourism market , among which the most important is to analyze tourist demands and tourism source market 随着我国旅游市场由卖方市场向买方市场的过度，专家学者对个体旅游者行为以及群体旅游市场研究日益重视。旅游需求和旅游客源市场的分析是研究的重点。
The core idea of swt is built on the basis of economic , social and ecological benefit . the arm it pursues is : wt not only need to meet people ' s tourism necessities and make everyone gain adequately benefit , but it must protect wetland resources and environment and make our offspring have equal opportunities and powers on tourism 湿地旅游可持续发展的核心思想是建立在经济效益、社会效益、和生态效益的基础上的，它所追求的目标是：既要使人们的旅游需求得到满足，个人得到充分发展，又要对湿地资源和环境进行保护，使后人有同等的旅游发展机会和权力。
The author believes that it is important to study the cultural tourism of islands and the countermeasures of this kind of tourism . researching on the demand and analyzing the practices of the cultural tourism of islands , this article reveals its characteristics , offers the common model and fundamental contents of the tourism 本文研究海岛文化旅游，是重点研究海岛文化旅游开发的对策，在对海岛文化旅游需求和实践的分析，揭示海岛文化旅游的特点，提出海岛文化旅游开发的基本内容及海岛文化旅游开发过程中存在的主要问题。
After studying and summarizing a large amount of materials , and studying and counseling from experts of china tourism college in peking . the author realized that the study of domestic tourist demand is in urgent . on the basis of introduction about the status of domestic tourist needs , the affecting factors on domestic tourist needs were analyzed by qualitative and quantitative methods 本文通过阅读、归纳大量的国内外文献，并在中国旅游学院对有关专家进行了学习和咨询，认识到国内旅游需求的研究有待于进一步深入，特别是影响国内旅游需求的具体因素以及国内旅游需求的潜在的需求量的分析和预测一直是该领域的空白。
And that , while the training samples is few and there is random error , ann is much better than ordinary statistical models . generally speaking , while the tourism demand statistical data is for a short period time , and tourism demand is disturbed by many unpredictable factors , ann is a more superior model 一般而言，旅游需求统计数据时间较短(也就是说可供“学习”的训练样本小) ，而且旅游需求还受到众多不可预知因素的干扰，所以在进行旅游需求预测时用神经网络是一个比较优越的模型分析方法。
